TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
711711––––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Point 3 set 1, 7-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 54.0%
3 points drawn · the score is 33 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 28–30 Vasyl Matviichuk Anatoliy Lysyi has won 28 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-30 in 58
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1174 vs Matviichuk 1072
Lysyi
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 100% vs Matviichuk 0%
Lysyi
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 80% vs Matviichuk 20%
Lysyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +6 · Matviichuk -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.91 / Matviichuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Matviichuk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13161968
Lysyi1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 34 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Matviichuk1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 78 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it86% 62 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi4wins
AwayMatviichuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi40%2 of 5
AwayMatviichuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi5Matviichuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysyi3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S3Lysyi4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S4Lysyi6Matviichuk3n = 9Lysyi took 6 of 9
S5Lysyi1Matviichuk2n = 3Matviichuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiMatviichukL − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.840.7−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 412 vs 284 / 60343.5%47.1%179 / 412 vs 284 / 603Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukLysyi 1.91/Matviichuk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi144550V. Matviichuk331111113
WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi5019119113V. Matviichuk441791171
LAug 31 · 08:30A. Lysyi356171021V. Matviichuk49111512113
LAug 30 · 10:05A. Lysyi321112451V. Matviichuk4371411113
WAug 30 · 05:30A. Lysyi4011711113V. Matviichuk31811481
LAug 24 · 10:11A. Lysyi3811831242V. Matviichuk518111110113
WAug 24 · 05:30A. Lysyi4181111113V. Matviichuk32118581
LAug 10 · 10:30A. Lysyi4211771162V. Matviichuk44811113113
WAug 10 · 05:30A. Lysyi48961111113V. Matviichuk4111118382
LAug 3 · 06:30A. Lysyi28841151V. Matviichuk3911116113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.3011117113V. Matviichuk3.40741161LSep 17 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.4411156123V. Matviichuk2.6381311101LSep 17 · 05:30V. Simchuk1.361311113V. Matviichuk3.0011570WSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111LSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070LSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.5011116113V. Matviichuk2.50551161WSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112
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