TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142960
Played Sep 17Finished
Viacheslav Simchuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115117––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Simchuk to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Simchuk above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Viacheslav Simchuk at 72.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Simchuk 26–20 Vasyl Matviichuk Vasyl Matviichuk has won 20 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Simchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-20 in 46
Simchuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simchuk 1347 vs Matviichuk 1058
Simchuk
Correct
both rated, 289 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simchuk 60% vs Matviichuk 40%
Simchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simchuk 40% vs Matviichuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simchuk +3 · Matviichuk +1
Simchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Simchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimchuk 1.36 / Matviichuk 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Simchuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142960
Simchuk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 99 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Matviichuk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 31 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimchuk7wins
AwayMatviichuk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSimchuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimchuk100%4 of 4
AwayMatviichuk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simchuk4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Simchuk8Matviichuk2n = 10Simchuk took 8 of 10
S3Simchuk8Matviichuk2n = 10Simchuk took 8 of 10
S4Simchuk2Matviichuk5n = 7Matviichuk took 5 of 7
S5Simchuk3Matviichuk1n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimchukMatviichukS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.634.5+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimchukMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 460 vs 284 / 60560.2%46.9%277 / 460 vs 284 / 605Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukSimchuk 1.36/Matviichuk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 07:00V. Simchuk331111113V. Matviichuk194690
WJul 7 · 05:30V. Simchuk491011116113V. Matviichuk3912931142
LJul 1 · 09:00V. Simchuk28811631V. Matviichuk4211911113
LJun 24 · 08:00V. Simchuk31611591V. Matviichuk3511211113
WJun 19 · 07:00V. Simchuk50116119133V. Matviichuk45311911112
WJun 1 · 09:30V. Simchuk3851111113V. Matviichuk27115471
WMay 19 · 09:00V. Simchuk331111113V. Matviichuk226880
WMay 12 · 05:30V. Simchuk50811118123V. Matviichuk43117411102
WMay 6 · 05:30V. Simchuk351111133V. Matviichuk2375110
LFeb 11 · 09:00V. Simchuk3953111282V. Matviichuk501111710113
V. Simchuk10
WSep 17 · 06:30V. Kurliuk2.10511891V. Simchuk1.6711711113WSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:00V. Simchuk1.7321111113S. Honcharenko2.00116681WSep 16 · 08:00O. Badanin4.33541151V. Simchuk1.2011116113LSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581LSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.53129122113V. Simchuk2.381011101192LSep 11 · 05:30V. Simchuk2.63851171S. Sideltsev1.4411118113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111LSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070LSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.5011116113V. Matviichuk2.50551161WSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112LSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110LSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113
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