TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128719
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleg Shvydkyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811811––––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingOleg Shvydkyi above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Shvydkyi 9–16 Anatoliy Lysyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Lysyi beat Shvydkyi 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShvydkyi 3.25 / Lysyi 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Lysyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13128719
Shvydkyi3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Lysyi1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 58 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShvydkyi2wins
AwayLysyi8wins
Lysyi leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShvydkyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLysyi77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shvydkyi1Lysyi9n = 10Lysyi took 9 of 10
S2Shvydkyi4Lysyi6n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S3Shvydkyi2Lysyi8n = 10Lysyi took 8 of 10
S4Shvydkyi2Lysyi3n = 5Lysyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricShvydkyiLysyiS − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match26.035.4−9.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShvydkyiLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 174 vs 186 / 42536.2%43.8%63 / 174 vs 186 / 425Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match32.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiShvydkyi 3.25/Lysyi 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi185760A. Lysyi331111113
LAug 16 · 14:30O. Shvydkyi209830A. Lysyi331111113
WAug 10 · 09:00O. Shvydkyi3631111113A. Lysyi34118871
LAug 10 · 06:30O. Shvydkyi2351080A. Lysyi341112113
LAug 3 · 08:30O. Shvydkyi229940A. Lysyi331111113
LJul 26 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi27113581A. Lysyi4291111113
LMay 11 · 10:39O. Shvydkyi335111071A. Lysyi4311912113
LMar 23 · 09:30O. Shvydkyi29611931A. Lysyi3711411113
LFeb 1 · 16:30O. Shvydkyi166730A. Lysyi331111113
WDec 6 · 08:30O. Shvydkyi3631111113A. Lysyi32117681
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113LSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133WSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113LSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123
A. Lysyi10
WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.