TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13139677
Played Sep 16Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111131210––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 7–7 Mykola Zavoloka Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Honcharenko beat Zavoloka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.20 / Zavoloka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Zavoloka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13139677
Honcharenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Zavoloka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko4wins
AwayZavoloka6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZavoloka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%4 of 4
AwayZavoloka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko4Zavoloka6n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S2Honcharenko4Zavoloka6n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S3Honcharenko3Zavoloka7n = 10Zavoloka took 7 of 10
S4Honcharenko1Zavoloka3n = 4Zavoloka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaH − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.635.8−2.2per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 838 vs 43 / 7151.8%60.6%434 / 838 vs 43 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaHoncharenko 2.20/Zavoloka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 07:30S. Honcharenko481112104113M. Zavoloka45610121162
LSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko1852110M. Zavoloka351111133
LSep 15 · 06:30S. Honcharenko2710980M. Zavoloka341211113
WSep 9 · 08:00S. Honcharenko361114113M. Zavoloka2441280
LSep 8 · 10:33S. Honcharenko361211491M. Zavoloka4314711113
LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko239680M. Zavoloka331111113
LAug 25 · 10:39S. Honcharenko2691250M. Zavoloka361114113
WAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko51119911113M. Zavoloka4371111952
WAug 24 · 10:28S. Honcharenko331111113M. Zavoloka189450
LAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko381171461M. Zavoloka47131112113
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 16 · 09:00V. Simchuk1.7321111113S. Honcharenko2.00116681WSep 16 · 07:30M. Zavoloka1.36610121162S. Honcharenko3.001112104113LSep 16 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.4011712113S. Honcharenko2.759111091WSep 16 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5061111952S. Honcharenko2.50114511113LSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133LSep 15 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.503780LSep 15 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.4071080P. Shulhachyk1.301112113LSep 15 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.831211113S. Honcharenko1.8310980WSep 15 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.5011116113V. Matviichuk2.50551161LSep 11 · 10:10S. Honcharenko2.009980N. Priadko1.731111113
M. Zavoloka10
LSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661LSep 16 · 07:30M. Zavoloka1.36610121162S. Honcharenko3.001112104113WSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin2.63511111132M. Zavoloka1.44119713113WSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133LSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070WSep 15 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.831211113S. Honcharenko1.8310980LSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143WSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113
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