TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142887
Played Sep 17Finished
Viacheslav Simchuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118114––––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Simchuk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Simchuk above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Viacheslav Simchuk at 62.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Simchuk 3–1 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Simchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Simchuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simchuk 1373 vs Zavoloka 1268
Simchuk
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simchuk 100% vs Zavoloka 20%
Simchuk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simchuk 60% vs Zavoloka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simchuk +5 · Zavoloka +1
Simchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Simchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimchuk 1.40 / Zavoloka 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Simchuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142887
Simchuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 99 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Zavoloka2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 8 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSimchuk3wins
AwayZavoloka1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSimchuk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimchuk100%3 of 3
AwayZavolokan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simchuk3Zavoloka1n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
S2Simchuk3Zavoloka1n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
S3Simchuk3Zavoloka1n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSimchukZavolokaS − ZBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.229.0+10.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimchukZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 463 vs 44 / 7560.5%58.7%280 / 463 vs 44 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukSimchuk 1.40/Zavoloka 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 17 · 07:30V. Simchuk331111113M. Zavoloka186840
LSep 16 · 05:30V. Simchuk46861111102M. Zavoloka49111196123
WAug 23 · 16:30V. Simchuk45111113103M. Zavoloka31281561
WJul 7 · 08:30V. Simchuk331111113M. Zavoloka184950
V. Simchuk10
WSep 17 · 08:30S. Honcharenko2.1011860V. Simchuk1.671311113WSep 17 · 06:30V. Kurliuk2.10511891V. Simchuk1.6711711113WSep 17 · 05:30V. Simchuk1.361311113V. Matviichuk3.0011570WSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:00V. Simchuk1.7321111113S. Honcharenko2.00116681WSep 16 · 08:00O. Badanin4.33541151V. Simchuk1.2011116113LSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581LSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 17 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.837990M. Zavoloka1.831111113LSep 17 · 05:00V. Kurliuk2.251111113M. Zavoloka1.575870LSep 16 · 09:59S. Honcharenko2.2011811123M. Zavoloka1.619113101LSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661LSep 16 · 07:30M. Zavoloka1.36610121162S. Honcharenko3.001112104113WSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin2.63511111132M. Zavoloka1.44119713113WSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133LSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070
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