TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Honcharenko vs Vasyl Matviichuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111131113611––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 64.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 98–66 Vasyl Matviichuk Vasyl Matviichuk has won 66 of their 164 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Honcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-66 in 164
Honcharenko
Wrong
gap of 32 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1308 vs Matviichuk 1061
Honcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 60% vs Matviichuk 20%
Honcharenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 50% vs Matviichuk 20%
Honcharenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +2 · Matviichuk -3
Matviichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.53 / Matviichuk 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Honcharenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172626
Honcharenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 97 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it87% 79 of 91
Matviichuk2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 31 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko8wins
AwayMatviichuk2wins
Honcharenko leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%8 of 8
AwayMatviichukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko8Matviichuk2n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S2Honcharenko7Matviichuk3n = 10Honcharenko took 7 of 10
S3Honcharenko4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S4Honcharenko6Matviichuk1n = 7Honcharenko took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoMatviichukH − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.930.4+6.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 843 vs 284 / 60151.6%47.3%435 / 843 vs 284 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.53/Matviichuk 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko379111161V. Matviichuk3811313113
WSep 17 · 07:00S. Honcharenko4411156123V. Matviichuk4281311101
WSep 15 · 05:30S. Honcharenko3911116113V. Matviichuk27551161
WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko331111113V. Matviichuk238780
WSep 3 · 08:00S. Honcharenko331111113V. Matviichuk155640
WAug 31 · 10:28S. Honcharenko4111117123V. Matviichuk368711101
WAug 31 · 06:00S. Honcharenko4411911133V. Matviichuk305113111
LAug 30 · 09:00S. Honcharenko217950V. Matviichuk331111113
WAug 27 · 12:00S. Honcharenko3911116113V. Matviichuk32861171
WAug 25 · 05:30S. Honcharenko3811511113V. Matviichuk28711461
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 22 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.1711611113V. Khyzhnyak4.50411681WSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110WSep 18 · 09:00S. Honcharenko3.501111123P. Shulhachyk1.2855100LSep 18 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.201111113S. Honcharenko4.339660WSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113LSep 18 · 05:30N. Priadko1.36111311113S. Honcharenko3.007111381LSep 17 · 10:28V. Simchuk1.5711911113S. Honcharenko2.25411491WSep 17 · 09:30S. Honcharenko2.201311113V. Kurliuk1.6111480LSep 17 · 08:30S. Honcharenko2.1011860V. Simchuk1.671311113WSep 17 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.4411156123V. Matviichuk2.6381311101
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112LSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.3011117113V. Matviichuk3.40741161LSep 17 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.4411156123V. Matviichuk2.6381311101LSep 17 · 05:30V. Simchuk1.361311113V. Matviichuk3.0011570
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