TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711611911––
Anton Danylov
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 3–4 Anton Danylov Vasyl Matviichuk has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Matviichuk beat Danylov 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 1.44 / Danylov 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Matviichuk)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13165793
Matviichuk1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 78 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it86% 62 of 72
Danylov2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMatviichuk3wins
AwayDanylov4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderDanylov leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayDanylov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk3Danylov4n = 7Danylov took 4 of 7
S2Matviichuk2Danylov5n = 7Danylov took 5 of 7
S3Matviichuk3Danylov4n = 7Danylov took 4 of 7
S4Matviichuk3Danylov1n = 4Matviichuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMatviichukDanylovM − DBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.438.0−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 605 vs 41 / 12947.1%31.8%285 / 605 vs 41 / 129Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.833.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukMatviichuk 1.44/Danylov 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 6 · 06:00V. Matviichuk4013115113A. Danylov361171171
LAug 2 · 13:00V. Matviichuk2898110A. Danylov351111133
LJul 12 · 17:34V. Matviichuk214890A. Danylov331111113
LJul 12 · 13:30V. Matviichuk30941251A. Danylov43111110113
LJul 4 · 06:00V. Matviichuk4711971192A. Danylov47811116113
WJun 14 · 07:00V. Matviichuk331111113A. Danylov237970
WApr 17 · 16:30V. Matviichuk49781211113A. Danylov49111110892
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112LSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.3011117113V. Matviichuk3.40741161LSep 17 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.4411156123V. Matviichuk2.6381311101LSep 17 · 05:30V. Simchuk1.361311113V. Matviichuk3.0011570WSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111LSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070
A. Danylov10
LSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860LSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 13:30A. Danylov2.001113113V. Hyriavyi1.7331190LSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113LSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113
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