TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131311119––––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Hyriavyi to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Hyriavyi at 56.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 1–4 Viktor Hyriavyi Anton Danylov has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hyriavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Hyriavyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1086 vs Hyriavyi 1021
Danylov
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 40% vs Hyriavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 40% vs Hyriavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov -2 · Hyriavyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hyriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 2.00 / Hyriavyi 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hyriavyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161957
Danylov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Hyriavyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 8 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDanylov1wins
AwayHyriavyi4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHyriavyi leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHyriavyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov2Hyriavyi3n = 5Hyriavyi took 3 of 5
S2Danylov0Hyriavyi5n = 5Hyriavyi took 5 of 5
S3Danylov3Hyriavyi2n = 5Danylov took 3 of 5
S4Danylov0Hyriavyi3n = 3Hyriavyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricDanylovHyriavyiD − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match31.839.8−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 126 vs 111 / 33931.8%32.7%40 / 126 vs 111 / 339Avg sets wonper match1.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.833.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyriavyiDanylov 2.00/Hyriavyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Hyriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 6 · 09:58A. Danylov44117114113V. Hyriavyi4331191192
LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov29581241V. Hyriavyi43111110113
LApr 17 · 15:30A. Danylov268990V. Hyriavyi331111113
LFeb 15 · 15:30A. Danylov28871121V. Hyriavyi4011117113
A. Danylov10
LSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113LSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 20 · 14:30V. Hyriavyi2.638840S. Zherykhin1.441111113WSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191LSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113WSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113
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