TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118116––––
Anton Danylov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 57.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 12–6 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Lysyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1182 vs Danylov 1062
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 100% vs Danylov 40%
Lysyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 90% vs Danylov 40%
Lysyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +7 · Danylov -1
Lysyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.67 / Danylov 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Lysyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161865
Lysyi1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 56 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Danylov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi6wins
AwayDanylov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi75%3 of 4
AwayDanylov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi4Danylov6n = 10Danylov took 6 of 10
S2Lysyi5Danylov5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysyi7Danylov3n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S4Lysyi4Danylov2n = 6Lysyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiDanylovL − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.1+2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 413 vs 41 / 12743.6%32.3%180 / 413 vs 41 / 127Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.433.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.67/Danylov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 08:30A. Lysyi48108111182A. Danylov44121182113
WAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi4171111123A. Danylov321183101
LAug 16 · 13:30A. Lysyi219750A. Danylov331111113
LAug 2 · 15:30A. Lysyi3912512101A. Danylov47101114123
LJul 4 · 10:29A. Lysyi216780A. Danylov331111113
WJul 4 · 08:30A. Lysyi331111113A. Danylov239680
WJun 27 · 07:30A. Lysyi46511118113A. Danylov4111461192
WJun 14 · 08:30A. Lysyi361311123A. Danylov30119100
WJun 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi4411911133A. Danylov355118111
WMay 23 · 07:30A. Lysyi4291111113A. Danylov33119491
A. Lysyi10
LSep 20 · 17:29S. Zherykhin2.201122A. Lysyi1.61310WSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100LSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112WSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113
A. Danylov10
WSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 13:30A. Danylov2.001113113V. Hyriavyi1.7331190LSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113LSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113
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