TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191210––––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 75.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 29–10 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 10 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-10 in 39
Lysyi
Correct
gap of 19 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1174 vs Hyriavyi 995
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 100% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Lysyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 80% vs Hyriavyi 30%
Lysyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +6 · Hyriavyi -2
Lysyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.28 / Hyriavyi 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Lysyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161845
Lysyi1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 56 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Hyriavyi3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 28 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi7wins
AwayHyriavyi3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayHyriavyi25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi6Hyriavyi4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S2Lysyi6Hyriavyi4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S3Lysyi7Hyriavyi3n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S4Lysyi6Hyriavyi3n = 9Lysyi took 6 of 9
S5Lysyi2Hyriavyi3n = 5Hyriavyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiHyriavyiL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.9+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 412 vs 111 / 34143.5%32.6%179 / 412 vs 111 / 341Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.433.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.28/Hyriavyi 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi3511115262V. Hyriavyi47951111113
LAug 31 · 05:30A. Lysyi4211116952V. Hyriavyi43641111113
LAug 3 · 05:30A. Lysyi5197151192V. Hyriavyi541111138113
WJul 6 · 05:28A. Lysyi43111011113V. Hyriavyi31912821
WJun 15 · 05:30A. Lysyi4211911113V. Hyriavyi27611461
WJun 8 · 08:30A. Lysyi4514911113V. Hyriavyi341211381
WApr 17 · 14:30A. Lysyi331111113V. Hyriavyi239680
WMar 27 · 09:30A. Lysyi49811811113V. Hyriavyi3911511662
WMar 20 · 06:30A. Lysyi3851111113V. Hyriavyi34118781
WFeb 27 · 13:30A. Lysyi516111112113V. Hyriavyi4711761492
A. Lysyi10
WSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860LSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112WSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 20 · 14:30V. Hyriavyi2.638840S. Zherykhin1.441111113LSep 20 · 13:30A. Danylov2.001113113V. Hyriavyi1.7331190WSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191LSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113WSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113
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