TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 0
Set by set
11321––––––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 2-1
Point 17 set 2, 2-1
17 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 4–6 Anatoliy Lysyi Stanislav Zherykhin has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Lysyi beat Zherykhin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.20 / Lysyi 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Lysyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13165866
Zherykhin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 17 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Lysyi1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 56 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZherykhin4wins
AwayLysyi6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin40%2 of 5
AwayLysyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Zherykhin2Lysyi8n = 10Lysyi took 8 of 10
S3Zherykhin5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Zherykhin4Lysyi5n = 9Lysyi took 5 of 9
S5Zherykhin4Lysyi2n = 6Zherykhin took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZherykhinLysyiZ − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.044.9−1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 92 vs 181 / 41435.9%43.7%33 / 92 vs 181 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiZherykhin 2.20/Lysyi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–0
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin30114691A. Lysyi4071111113
LSep 7 · 07:30S. Zherykhin32911481A. Lysyi4111811113
LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin4611991162A. Lysyi39111115113
LAug 29 · 13:30S. Zherykhin3511411452A. Lysyi51911911113
WJun 7 · 06:30S. Zherykhin51991111113A. Lysyi4411119672
WMay 23 · 06:30S. Zherykhin51881311113A. Lysyi46111111672
LApr 19 · 07:28S. Zherykhin324101261A. Lysyi44111210113
WApr 11 · 09:59S. Zherykhin521112711113A. Lysyi4671411682
WApr 11 · 06:30S. Zherykhin58111188203A. Lysyi53851111182
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 14:30V. Hyriavyi2.638840S. Zherykhin1.441111113LSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113WSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin2.63711112123O. Badanin1.44119711102LSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113LSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133LSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741LSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991
A. Lysyi10
WSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860WSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100LSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112WSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.