TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13145613
Played Sep 17Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311911117811––
Valentyn Kurliuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Valentyn Kurliuk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 0–2 Valentyn Kurliuk Mykola Zavoloka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 2.10 / Kurliuk 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zavoloka)+1.8pp
Setka Cup · #13145613
Zavoloka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 8 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kurliuk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZavoloka0wins
AwayKurliuk2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKurliuk leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZavolokaKurliukZ − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match30.040.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaKurliukBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 76 vs 148 / 29359.2%50.5%45 / 76 vs 148 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 2.10/Kurliuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 17 · 05:00M. Zavoloka205870V. Kurliuk331111113
LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka4061111662V. Kurliuk47115911113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.401111113M. Zavoloka2.756840WSep 17 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.837990M. Zavoloka1.831111113LSep 17 · 05:00V. Kurliuk2.251111113M. Zavoloka1.575870LSep 16 · 09:59S. Honcharenko2.2011811123M. Zavoloka1.619113101LSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661LSep 16 · 07:30M. Zavoloka1.36610121162S. Honcharenko3.001112104113WSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin2.63511111132M. Zavoloka1.44119713113WSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133
V. Kurliuk10
LSep 17 · 09:30S. Honcharenko2.201311113V. Kurliuk1.6111480WSep 17 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.3011117113V. Matviichuk3.40741161LSep 17 · 06:30V. Kurliuk2.10511891V. Simchuk1.6711711113WSep 17 · 05:00V. Kurliuk2.251111113M. Zavoloka1.575870LSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133WSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113LSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590LSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931WSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113LSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133
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