TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Honcharenko vs Mykola Zavoloka 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171210––––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 59.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 8–8 Mykola Zavoloka Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:51What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zavoloka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1312 vs Zavoloka 1275
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zavoloka 60%
Honcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 60% vs Zavoloka 40%
Honcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +2 · Zavoloka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Honcharenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.00 / Zavoloka 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zavoloka)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172315
Honcharenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 72 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Zavoloka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko4wins
AwayZavoloka6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZavoloka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%4 of 4
AwayZavoloka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko4Zavoloka6n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S2Honcharenko3Zavoloka7n = 10Zavoloka took 7 of 10
S3Honcharenko2Zavoloka8n = 10Zavoloka took 8 of 10
S4Honcharenko2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaH − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.9−2.7per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 842 vs 47 / 8051.5%58.8%434 / 842 vs 47 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaHoncharenko 2.00/Zavoloka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:00S. Honcharenko257990M. Zavoloka331111113
WSep 16 · 09:59S. Honcharenko4211811123M. Zavoloka339113101
WSep 16 · 07:30S. Honcharenko481112104113M. Zavoloka45610121162
LSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko1852110M. Zavoloka351111133
LSep 15 · 06:30S. Honcharenko2710980M. Zavoloka341211113
WSep 9 · 08:00S. Honcharenko361114113M. Zavoloka2441280
LSep 8 · 10:33S. Honcharenko361211491M. Zavoloka4314711113
LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko239680M. Zavoloka331111113
LAug 25 · 10:39S. Honcharenko2691250M. Zavoloka361114113
WAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko51119911113M. Zavoloka4371111952
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 22 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.503770WSep 22 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.1711611113V. Khyzhnyak4.50411681LSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113WSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110WSep 18 · 09:00S. Honcharenko3.501111123P. Shulhachyk1.2855100LSep 18 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.201111113S. Honcharenko4.339660WSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113LSep 18 · 05:30N. Priadko1.36111311113S. Honcharenko3.007111381LSep 17 · 10:28V. Simchuk1.5711911113S. Honcharenko2.25411491WSep 17 · 09:30S. Honcharenko2.201311113V. Kurliuk1.6111480
M. Zavoloka10
LSep 22 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak2.001211113M. Zavoloka1.7310570LSep 22 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.61512791V. Khyzhnyak2.20111011113WSep 22 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.171113113V. Hyriavyi4.5081190WSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 17 · 09:59M. Zavoloka2.10391181V. Kurliuk1.6711117113WSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.401111113M. Zavoloka2.756840WSep 17 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.837990M. Zavoloka1.831111113LSep 17 · 05:00V. Kurliuk2.251111113M. Zavoloka1.575870LSep 16 · 09:59S. Honcharenko2.2011811123M. Zavoloka1.619113101
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