TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117112––––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvgenii Bakin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 49 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Evgenii Bakin at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 2–4 Evgenii Bakin Ihor Sorochan has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Bakin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1306 vs Bakin 1230
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 40% vs Bakin 20%
Sorochan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 50% vs Bakin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan +2 · Bakin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sorochan) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.73 / Bakin 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sorochan)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166170
Sorochan1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 64 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 55 of 67
Bakin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSorochan2wins
AwayBakin4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderBakin leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan66.7%2 of 3
AwayBakin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan3Bakin3n = 6split evenly
S2Sorochan2Bakin4n = 6Bakin took 4 of 6
S3Sorochan3Bakin3n = 6split evenly
S4Sorochan2Bakin2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSorochanBakinS − BBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.037.7−2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 424 vs 60 / 10855.4%55.6%235 / 424 vs 60 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.73/Bakin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan4211812113E. Bakin349111041
LMay 18 · 05:30I. Sorochan431479131E. Bakin49121111153
LMar 14 · 07:30I. Sorochan1851030E. Bakin341112113
LMar 8 · 06:30I. Sorochan36911791E. Bakin3911611113
LJan 19 · 10:00I. Sorochan3743111182E. Bakin50111198113
WAug 6 · 05:30I. Sorochan341211113E. Bakin2010640
I. Sorochan10
WSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan1.221111113O. Shvydkyi4.004680WSep 21 · 05:00I. Sorochan1.25691111113A. Lysyi3.7511116862LSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110LSep 18 · 09:30I. Sorochan3.2511128101M. Pohorilyi1.3361411123LSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113WSep 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.101111113P. Shulhachyk1.674640WSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590
E. Bakin10
LSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882WSep 21 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi3.0012671162E. Bakin1.361011116113LSep 14 · 10:38E. Bakin1.91311100O. Badanin1.801113123LSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113LSep 14 · 08:00O. Badanin2.381111113E. Bakin1.538950WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100
Upcoming Matches
I. Sorochan
E. Bakin
Nothing scheduled
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