TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116118––––
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 80.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 18–5 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-5 in 23
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1306 vs Shvydkyi 1037
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 269 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 20% vs Shvydkyi 40%
Shvydkyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 50% vs Shvydkyi 30%
Sorochan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan +1 · Shvydkyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.22 / Shvydkyi 4.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Sorochan)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166131
Sorochan1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 64 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 55 of 67
Shvydkyi4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan8wins
AwayShvydkyi2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSorochan leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan100%6 of 6
AwayShvydkyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan6Shvydkyi4n = 10Sorochan took 6 of 10
S2Sorochan8Shvydkyi2n = 10Sorochan took 8 of 10
S3Sorochan9Shvydkyi1n = 10Sorochan took 9 of 10
S4Sorochan2Shvydkyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanShvydkyiSorochan − ShvydkyiBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.431.6+4.8per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 424 vs 57 / 16155.4%35.4%235 / 424 vs 57 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.633.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.22/Shvydkyi 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.1%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan331111113O. Shvydkyi184680
WApr 27 · 06:00I. Sorochan371311133O. Shvydkyi29117110
LAug 25 · 06:30I. Sorochan47611137102O. Shvydkyi521171111123
WAug 11 · 09:56I. Sorochan331111113O. Shvydkyi238690
WAug 11 · 05:30I. Sorochan331111113O. Shvydkyi177730
WAug 3 · 16:59I. Sorochan43101111113O. Shvydkyi38129891
LAug 3 · 15:00I. Sorochan1912160O. Shvydkyi361411113
WAug 1 · 08:00I. Sorochan331111113O. Shvydkyi249960
WJul 27 · 15:00I. Sorochan4012611113O. Shvydkyi351011681
WJul 26 · 05:30I. Sorochan461111211113O. Shvydkyi44114101362
I. Sorochan10
WSep 21 · 05:00I. Sorochan1.25691111113A. Lysyi3.7511116862LSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110LSep 18 · 09:30I. Sorochan3.2511128101M. Pohorilyi1.3361411123LSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113WSep 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.101111113P. Shulhachyk1.674640WSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590WSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113
O. Shvydkyi10
LSep 21 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.503670A. Lysyi1.281111113LSep 21 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi3.0012671162E. Bakin1.361011116113LSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113LSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133WSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113
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