TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611911116118116
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 79.3% is still 79.3%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
79.3%
79.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 79.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 37–13 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 13 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-13 in 50
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 24 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1293 vs Lysyi 1191
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 20% vs Lysyi 100%
Lysyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 40% vs Lysyi 90%
Lysyi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -4 · Lysyi +8
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.25 / Lysyi 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Sorochan)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166257
Sorochan1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 64 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 55 of 67
Lysyi3.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 34 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan9wins
AwayLysyi1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSorochan leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan85.7%6 of 7
AwayLysyi0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan7Lysyi3n = 10Sorochan took 7 of 10
S2Sorochan7Lysyi3n = 10Sorochan took 7 of 10
S3Sorochan8Lysyi2n = 10Sorochan took 8 of 10
S4Sorochan5Lysyi2n = 7Sorochan took 5 of 7
S5Sorochan2Lysyi1n = 3Sorochan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanLysyiS − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.231.0+10.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 426 vs 181 / 41455.2%43.7%235 / 426 vs 181 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.25/Lysyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 12:30I. Sorochan331111113A. Lysyi217860
WAug 9 · 12:30I. Sorochan3811115113A. Lysyi29371181
WJun 1 · 07:30I. Sorochan51911119113A. Lysyi3811461162
WMay 23 · 10:01I. Sorochan49711911113A. Lysyi4111511592
WMay 23 · 08:30I. Sorochan4171112113A. Lysyi351191051
LMay 18 · 07:30I. Sorochan47119116102A. Lysyi46611611123
WMay 11 · 08:00I. Sorochan331111113A. Lysyi176830
WMay 4 · 05:30I. Sorochan351311113A. Lysyi2511860
WApr 24 · 07:30I. Sorochan43111011113A. Lysyi34812591
WApr 20 · 05:30I. Sorochan4211911113A. Lysyi24311461
I. Sorochan10
WSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan1.221111113O. Shvydkyi4.004680LSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110LSep 18 · 09:30I. Sorochan3.2511128101M. Pohorilyi1.3361411123LSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113WSep 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.101111113P. Shulhachyk1.674640WSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590WSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.2277100A. Lysyi4.001111123LSep 20 · 17:29S. Zherykhin2.201122A. Lysyi1.61310WSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860WSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100LSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112WSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.