TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111012––––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 77.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 26–11 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 11 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-11 in 37
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
gap of 15 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1344 vs Lysyi 1199
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 80% vs Lysyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Lysyi 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Lysyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.22 / Lysyi 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166090
Zvolynskyi1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 92 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it91% 76 of 84
Lysyi4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 34 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back11% 7 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi9wins
AwayLysyi1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi100%8 of 8
AwayLysyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi8Lysyi2n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Zvolynskyi9Lysyi1n = 10Zvolynskyi took 9 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi3Lysyi2n = 5Zvolynskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiLysyiZ − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.930.7+8.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 571 vs 182 / 41652.7%43.8%301 / 571 vs 182 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.22/Lysyi 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2477100A. Lysyi341111123
WJul 6 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi511110118113A. Lysyi3761251132
WMay 18 · 10:28Y. Zvolynskyi501011117113A. Lysyi4212851162
WMay 18 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi331111113A. Lysyi217860
WApr 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi341111123A. Lysyi2587100
WApr 24 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi331111113A. Lysyi173860
WApr 19 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi4111712113A. Lysyi369111061
WApr 18 · 15:30Y. Zvolynskyi331111113A. Lysyi208930
WMar 26 · 08:00Y. Zvolynskyi45111013113A. Lysyi389121161
WJan 25 · 17:00Y. Zvolynskyi45111112113A. Lysyi377131071
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550WSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661WSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.4011712113S. Honcharenko2.759111091LSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152WSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.503780WSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113
A. Lysyi10
LSep 21 · 05:00I. Sorochan1.25691111113A. Lysyi3.7511116862LSep 20 · 17:29S. Zherykhin2.201122A. Lysyi1.61310WSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860WSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100LSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112WSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111WSep 14 · 10:08O. Shvydkyi3.254880A. Lysyi1.331111113WSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113
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