TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111181416118118
Evgenii Bakin
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 105 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 54.1%
105 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 4–3 Evgenii Bakin Evgenii Bakin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1344 vs Bakin 1238
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Bakin 40%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Bakin 40%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -2 · Bakin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.61 / Bakin 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166324
Zvolynskyi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 92 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it91% 76 of 84
Bakin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi4wins
AwayBakin3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBakin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi2Bakin5n = 7Bakin took 5 of 7
S2Zvolynskyi5Bakin2n = 7Zvolynskyi took 5 of 7
S3Zvolynskyi3Bakin4n = 7Bakin took 4 of 7
S4Zvolynskyi4Bakin0n = 4Zvolynskyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiBakinZ − BBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.333.4+1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 571 vs 60 / 10752.7%56.1%301 / 571 vs 60 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.61/Bakin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 19 · 09:59Y. Zvolynskyi2581160E. Bakin351113113
WMay 19 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi44101112113E. Bakin371271081
WMay 18 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3911116113E. Bakin30751171
WMar 14 · 10:30Y. Zvolynskyi45101113113E. Bakin341291121
LMar 8 · 08:00Y. Zvolynskyi4281181142E. Bakin45115117113
WJan 19 · 08:00Y. Zvolynskyi331111113E. Bakin204970
LMar 30 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi196760E. Bakin331111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.2277100A. Lysyi4.001111123LSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550WSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661WSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.4011712113S. Honcharenko2.759111091LSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152WSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.503780WSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040
E. Bakin10
LSep 21 · 08:00I. Sorochan1.731111113E. Bakin2.007720WSep 21 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi3.0012671162E. Bakin1.361011116113LSep 14 · 10:38E. Bakin1.91311100O. Badanin1.801113123LSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113LSep 14 · 08:00O. Badanin2.381111113E. Bakin1.538950WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100
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