TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611811114116119
Ondrej Coufal
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Coufal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 88 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Coufal at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:41What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Theodor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1459 vs Coufal 1343
Theodor
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 40% vs Coufal 60%
Coufal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 50% vs Coufal 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor +1 · Coufal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Theodor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 1.80 / Coufal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Theodor)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13168755
Theodor1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite39% won 11 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Coufal1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 19 days ago (Sep 02) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 7 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 180 vs 7 / 2046.7%35%84 / 180 vs 7 / 20Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.633.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorTheodor 1.80/Coufal 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Theodor won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Theodor10
LSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133WSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113LSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113
O. Coufal10
WSep 21 · 15:10O. Coufal1.731111133O. Skvor2.0049110LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113
Upcoming Matches
F. Theodor
Nothing scheduled
O. Coufal
Event Chatroom
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