TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124429
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511711611––
Ondrej Kus
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:31 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Theodor to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Filip Theodor at 60.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 6–5 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1434 vs Kus 1382
Theodor
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 60% vs Kus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 60% vs Kus 40%
Theodor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor -1 · Kus -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Theodor) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 1.83 / Kus 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Theodor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13124429
Theodor1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kus1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTheodor6wins
AwayKus4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTheodor leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTheodor85.7%6 of 7
AwayKus100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Theodor7Kus3n = 10Theodor took 7 of 10
S2Theodor4Kus6n = 10Kus took 6 of 10
S3Theodor5Kus5n = 10split evenly
S4Theodor4Kus1n = 5Theodor took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTheodorKusT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.933.1+2.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorKusBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 178 vs 259 / 52246.6%49.6%83 / 178 vs 259 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorTheodor 1.83/Kus 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 19:45F. Theodor43111110113O. Kus30671251
LAug 10 · 17:20F. Theodor185850O. Kus331111113
WAug 10 · 16:15F. Theodor46129311113O. Kus43101111652
WApr 12 · 20:10F. Theodor331111113O. Kus177370
WApr 9 · 20:45F. Theodor341112113O. Kus2561090
WApr 9 · 18:45F. Theodor44111111113O. Kus29813351
LFeb 24 · 16:45F. Theodor2789100O. Kus341111123
WJan 29 · 22:25F. Theodor361111143O. Kus2989120
LJan 29 · 19:15F. Theodor4397111152O. Kus49111179113
LDec 9 · 22:20F. Theodor351176111O. Kus4271111133
F. Theodor10
LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113LSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113WSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113WSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123
O. Kus10
LSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113WSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 11:45A. Drozd1.574860O. Kus2.251111103WSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113LSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123WSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133LSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191
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