TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124430
Played Sep 13Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118117116––
Ondrej Kus
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:32 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Karel Zeman at 63.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 5–4 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1445 vs Kus 1398
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Kus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 60% vs Kus 40%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Kus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.50 / Kus 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zeman)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13124430
Zeman1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 65 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Kus2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayKus4wins
5 of 9 to a deciderZeman leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman80%4 of 5
AwayKus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Kus4n = 9Zeman took 5 of 9
S2Zeman5Kus4n = 9Zeman took 5 of 9
S3Zeman8Kus1n = 9Zeman took 8 of 9
S4Zeman2Kus4n = 6Kus took 4 of 6
S5Zeman2Kus3n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricZemanKusZ − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.036.7+3.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKusBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 307 vs 259 / 52155.7%49.7%171 / 307 vs 259 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.50/Kus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman331111113O. Kus207670
LSep 1 · 19:40K. Zeman356101181O. Kus3811124113
LAug 19 · 19:40K. Zeman3961111472O. Kus45116611113
WAug 17 · 20:45K. Zeman361411113O. Kus2212370
LAug 17 · 18:15K. Zeman4111511772O. Kus48611911113
WAug 11 · 20:40K. Zeman331111113O. Kus198470
WAug 11 · 18:15K. Zeman43116411113O. Kus3861111642
WApr 5 · 15:45K. Zeman551311117133O. Kus54159811112
LMar 14 · 13:10K. Zeman4579111172O. Kus46111194113
K. Zeman10
LSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572WSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113WSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113LSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113WSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892
O. Kus10
WSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113WSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 11:45A. Drozd1.574860O. Kus2.251111103WSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113LSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123WSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181
Upcoming Matches
K. Zeman
O. Kus
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