TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124979
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101214811115117
Karel Zeman
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 101 set 5, 11-7
101 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 4–12 Karel Zeman Filip Theodor has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 2.10 / Zeman 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Theodor)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13124979
Theodor2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 22 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Zeman1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 65 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTheodor2wins
AwayZeman8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTheodor66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeman100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Theodor3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Theodor6Zeman4n = 10Theodor took 6 of 10
S3Theodor7Zeman3n = 10Theodor took 7 of 10
S4Theodor2Zeman6n = 8Zeman took 6 of 8
S5Theodor1Zeman6n = 7Zeman took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTheodorZemanT − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.542.7−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 176 vs 171 / 30646.6%55.9%82 / 176 vs 171 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorTheodor 2.10/Zeman 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor4141111962K. Zeman46115811113
LSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor3981111452K. Zeman50119811113
LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor29931161K. Zeman3611113113
WAug 27 · 20:10F. Theodor351111133K. Zeman2678110
LAug 9 · 20:45F. Theodor258980K. Zeman331111113
LAug 9 · 20:15F. Theodor4771111992K. Zeman43118211113
WJul 29 · 21:03F. Theodor50145911113K. Zeman46121111662
LJul 29 · 19:40F. Theodor4148111262K. Zeman501111710113
LJul 7 · 17:45F. Theodor4011116392K. Zeman48961111113
LApr 20 · 18:45F. Theodor3881111622K. Zeman49117911113
F. Theodor10
LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113LSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113WSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113WSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133
K. Zeman10
WSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113WSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113LSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113WSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113
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