TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108558
Played Sep 10Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012511117117611
Filip Theodor
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Filip Theodor below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 6–7 Filip Theodor Vladislav Reska has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1519 vs Theodor 1456
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 80% vs Theodor 60%
Reska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 70% vs Theodor 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +2 · Theodor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.73 / Theodor 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Theodor)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13108558
Reska1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 76 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Theodor2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska6wins
AwayTheodor4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska83.3%5 of 6
AwayTheodor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska6Theodor4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S2Reska4Theodor6n = 10Theodor took 6 of 10
S3Reska5Theodor5n = 10split evenly
S4Reska3Theodor2n = 5Reska took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaTheodorR − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.232.9+1.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaTheodorBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 486 vs 81 / 17450.8%46.6%247 / 486 vs 81 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.73/Theodor 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska—84100F. Theodor—1111123
LAug 27 · 21:10V. Reska—71190F. Theodor—1113113
WAug 27 · 17:40V. Reska—11911113F. Theodor—811661
WAug 9 · 19:15V. Reska—131111113F. Theodor—154961
WJul 27 · 18:40V. Reska—1111123F. Theodor—98100
WJul 7 · 18:45V. Reska—1115158113F. Theodor—813171172
LJun 25 · 16:10V. Reska—4870F. Theodor—1111113
LJun 18 · 20:40V. Reska—110761F. Theodor—61111113
WJun 18 · 20:15V. Reska—11211113F. Theodor—311451
WApr 21 · 20:10V. Reska—1111113F. Theodor—6560
V. Reska10
WSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191WSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska1.441113113T. Ogrocki2.6361180LSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113WSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113WSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113LSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162
F. Theodor10
WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113LSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113WSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113WSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680
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