TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108556
Played Sep 10Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118711119––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 65.0% is still 65.0%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
65.0%
65.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 65.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 19–8 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Reska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-8 in 27
Reska
Correct
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1505 vs Vanous 1356
Reska
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 60% vs Vanous 20%
Reska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 70% vs Vanous 40%
Reska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +1 · Vanous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.50 / Vanous 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Reska)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13108556
Reska1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 76 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Vanous2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska8wins
AwayVanous2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska88.9%8 of 9
AwayVanousn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska9Vanous1n = 10Reska took 9 of 10
S2Reska6Vanous4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S3Reska6Vanous4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S4Reska5Vanous2n = 7Reska took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaVanousR − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.633.4+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 485 vs 127 / 29150.7%43.6%246 / 485 vs 127 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.50/Vanous 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 17:45V. Reska—11117113J. Vanous—571161
WAug 25 · 17:45V. Reska—1111113J. Vanous—8890
LJul 23 · 21:13V. Reska—7111151J. Vanous—11913113
WJul 23 · 19:40V. Reska—119118113J. Vanous—61131152
WJul 16 · 19:40V. Reska—11812113J. Vanous—6111031
WJul 10 · 19:45V. Reska—111111113J. Vanous—861371
WJul 7 · 18:15V. Reska—11712113J. Vanous—9111081
WJun 9 · 19:45V. Reska—1111123J. Vanous—69100
LJun 4 · 20:50V. Reska—129101132J. Vanous—1011129113
WJun 4 · 19:45V. Reska—1111113J. Vanous—7940
V. Reska10
WSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska1.441113113T. Ogrocki2.6361180LSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113WSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113WSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113LSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690
J. Vanous10
LSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931WSep 9 · 20:45V. Molin1.5099111182J. Vanous2.50111197113LSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113LSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141LSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor1.6712114113J. Vanous2.101091191LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123
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