TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106237
Played Sep 9Finished
Vojtech Molin
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911911119117811
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVojtech Molin above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Molin 9–3 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Molin beat Vanous 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.50 / Vanous 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Molin)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13106237
Molin1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 16 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it77% 10 of 13
Vanous2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolin8wins
AwayVanous2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin100%5 of 5
AwayVanous40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin5Vanous5n = 10split evenly
S2Molin6Vanous4n = 10Molin took 6 of 10
S3Molin7Vanous3n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S4Molin5Vanous1n = 6Molin took 5 of 6
S5Molin3Vanous1n = 4Molin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolinVanousM − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.1+5.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 143 vs 126 / 28946.9%43.6%67 / 143 vs 126 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.50/Vanous 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin—11126113J. Vanous—9101141
WSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin—91111113J. Vanous—119851
WAug 25 · 20:55V. Molin—1111143J. Vanous—66120
WAug 25 · 20:15V. Molin—10111110113J. Vanous—12581232
WAug 5 · 17:40V. Molin—116611113J. Vanous—91111532
LJul 29 · 20:33V. Molin—5590J. Vanous—1111113
WJul 29 · 20:10V. Molin—1111113J. Vanous—9780
WJun 30 · 18:10V. Molin—1111113J. Vanous—8560
WApr 28 · 18:10V. Molin—971114113J. Vanous—111161292
LApr 15 · 17:45V. Molin—461111112J. Vanous—111156133
V. Molin10
LSep 9 · 19:40V. Molin1.832650O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141WSep 9 · 17:40V. Molin1.53111176123I. Jemelka2.38591111102WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113
J. Vanous10
LSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113LSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141LSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor1.6712114113J. Vanous2.101091191LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152
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