TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124431
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811711––––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:32 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Theodor to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Filip Theodor at 63.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 1–1 Ondrej Skvor Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1474 vs Skvor 1406
Theodor
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 80% vs Skvor 60%
Theodor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 60% vs Skvor 40%
Theodor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor +1 · Skvor +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Theodor) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 1.83 / Skvor 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Theodor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13124431
Theodor1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Skvor1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTheodor1wins
AwaySkvor1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTheodorSkvorT − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match29.028.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 177 vs 75 / 15046.9%50%83 / 177 vs 75 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorTheodor 1.83/Skvor 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 30 · 17:09F. Theodor331111113O. Skvor178630
LAug 30 · 15:45F. Theodor25113741O. Skvor4071111113
F. Theodor10
WSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113LSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113WSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113WSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133
O. Skvor10
WSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113LSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460LSep 13 · 10:45A. Drozd1.50118114123O. Skvor2.50811811102WSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790LSep 11 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.1011119113O. Skvor1.67781171WSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971LSep 11 · 16:40J. Volny1.671111713113O. Skvor2.1085111572
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.