TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115946
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181157111315117
Ondrej Skvor
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:36 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 9-7
Point 97 set 5, 9-7 — our read held Jakub Volny at 60.0%
97 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jakub Volny 1–0 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Volny beat Skvor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Volny 1543 vs Skvor 1456
Volny
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 80% vs Skvor 40%
Volny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 70% vs Skvor 50%
Volny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +2 · Skvor -3
Skvor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Volny) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.67 / Skvor 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Volny)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13115946
Volny1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 47 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Skvor2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 18 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVolny1wins
AwaySkvor0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVolny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVolnySkvorV − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.046.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnySkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 351 vs 71 / 14048.4%50.7%170 / 351 vs 71 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.67/Skvor 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 15:10J. Volny—1110126113O. Skvor—512101182
J. Volny10
WSep 11 · 15:40K. Baros1.7311178482J. Volny2.005151111113WSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113LSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113
O. Skvor10
LSep 11 · 16:10A. Drozd1.911113113O. Skvor1.8061190LSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113LSep 11 · 13:40K. Baros1.8011611113O. Skvor1.91711661WSep 9 · 21:15O. Skvor1.70611117123I. Jemelka1.96115811102WSep 9 · 19:40V. Molin1.832650O. Skvor1.831111113LSep 9 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.2011126113O. Skvor1.615101151WSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor1.6712114113J. Vanous2.101091191WSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 16:10O. Skvor1.5361011101T. Ogrocki2.3811125123WSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Volny
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O. Skvor
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