TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114115
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185117111012––
Ales Drozd
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Ales Drozd below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Volny at 57.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 5–2 Ales Drozd Ales Drozd has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Volny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Volny
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1566 vs Drozd 1432
Volny
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 60% vs Drozd 20%
Volny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 60% vs Drozd 30%
Volny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +3 · Drozd -1
Volny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drozd form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.73 / Drozd 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Volny)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13114115
Volny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 47 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Drozd2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVolny5wins
AwayDrozd2wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVolny leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny100%4 of 4
AwayDrozd66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny4Drozd3n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S2Volny1Drozd6n = 7Drozd took 6 of 7
S3Volny6Drozd1n = 7Volny took 6 of 7
S4Volny4Drozd3n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S5Volny3Drozd1n = 4Volny took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVolnyDrozdV − DBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match45.642.6+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyDrozdBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 348 vs 128 / 25448.3%50.4%168 / 348 vs 128 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.73/Drozd 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 16 · 17:13J. Volny—481111102A. Drozd—111195123
WAug 16 · 15:10J. Volny—136911113A. Drozd—111111882
WJul 18 · 16:48J. Volny—118115113A. Drozd—91151182
LJul 18 · 15:45J. Volny—81011131A. Drozd—11129153
WMar 29 · 11:10J. Volny—91212113A. Drozd—11101071
WFeb 17 · 14:10J. Volny—118119113A. Drozd—91131142
WFeb 17 · 13:10J. Volny—111011113A. Drozd—912491
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960
A. Drozd10
LSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852LAug 25 · 08:38A. Drozd1.50114771O. Kus2.5061111113WAug 25 · 08:15O. Kus2.256770A. Drozd1.571111113LAug 25 · 07:15A. Drozd1.807690L. Kantor1.911111113LAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101LAug 24 · 12:45T. Lysek1.8011811113A. Drozd1.91911491WAug 24 · 12:15O. Kus2.2591170A. Drozd1.571113113LAug 24 · 11:15A. Drozd2.0011661582T. Lysek1.739111113113LAug 24 · 09:45P. Vinansky1.501112113A. Drozd2.5071090WAug 23 · 09:05M. Janik2.107780A. Drozd1.671111113
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