TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12479630
Played Aug 23Finished
Michal Janik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Ales Drozd
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
711711811––––
H2H Michal Janik 2–3 Ales Drozd Michal Janik has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Drozd)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drozd form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanik 2.10 / Drozd 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Drozd)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12479630
Janik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 29 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Drozd1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 43 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJanik2wins
AwayDrozd3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDrozd leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDrozd66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janik2Drozd3n = 5Drozd took 3 of 5
S2Janik2Drozd3n = 5Drozd took 3 of 5
S3Janik2Drozd3n = 5Drozd took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricJanikDrozdJ − DBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match35.435.2+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanikDrozdBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 257 vs 126 / 24644%51.2%113 / 257 vs 126 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdJanik 2.10/Drozd 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 23 · 09:05M. Janik—7780A. Drozd—1111113
WAug 23 · 07:40M. Janik—911119113A. Drozd—11851172
LAug 4 · 06:40M. Janik—10880A. Drozd—1211113
LMar 29 · 12:40M. Janik—11871182A. Drozd—111118113
WMar 29 · 12:10M. Janik—1111113A. Drozd—9790
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741
A. Drozd10
LSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852WSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123LAug 25 · 08:38A. Drozd1.50114771O. Kus2.5061111113WAug 25 · 08:15O. Kus2.256770A. Drozd1.571111113LAug 25 · 07:15A. Drozd1.807690L. Kantor1.911111113LAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101LAug 24 · 12:45T. Lysek1.8011811113A. Drozd1.91911491WAug 24 · 12:15O. Kus2.2591170A. Drozd1.571113113LAug 24 · 11:15A. Drozd2.0011661582T. Lysek1.739111113113LAug 24 · 09:45P. Vinansky1.501112113A. Drozd2.5071090
Upcoming Matches
M. Janik
Nothing scheduled
A. Drozd
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