TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011398
Played Aug 25Finished
Ales Drozd
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116411711711––
Ondrej Kus
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingAles Drozd above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Ales Drozd 7–7 Ondrej Kus Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Drozd)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrozd 1.50 / Kus 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Drozd)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13011398
Drozd1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 44 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51
Kus2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDrozd5wins
AwayKus5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDrozd80%4 of 5
AwayKus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Drozd5Kus5n = 10split evenly
S2Drozd6Kus4n = 10Drozd took 6 of 10
S3Drozd6Kus4n = 10Drozd took 6 of 10
S4Drozd1Kus2n = 3Kus took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDrozdKusD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.731.70.0per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrozdKusBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 253 vs 245 / 49150.6%49.9%128 / 253 vs 245 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdDrozd 1.50/Kus 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 08:15A. Drozd—1111113O. Kus—6770
WAug 24 · 12:15A. Drozd—1113113O. Kus—91170
WAug 16 · 16:10A. Drozd—91111113O. Kus—116781
LJul 6 · 11:45A. Drozd—5680O. Kus—1111113
WJun 23 · 17:25A. Drozd—1111113O. Kus—9790
LJun 23 · 15:10A. Drozd—711881O. Kus—11811113
WMay 27 · 09:05A. Drozd—1111113O. Kus—8580
LMay 27 · 06:10A. Drozd—9890O. Kus—1111113
LMar 9 · 07:10A. Drozd—11812662O. Kus—9111011113
LMar 4 · 14:45A. Drozd—3790O. Kus—1111113
A. Drozd10
LSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852WSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123WAug 25 · 08:15O. Kus2.256770A. Drozd1.571111113LAug 25 · 07:15A. Drozd1.807690L. Kantor1.911111113LAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101LAug 24 · 12:45T. Lysek1.8011811113A. Drozd1.91911491WAug 24 · 12:15O. Kus2.2591170A. Drozd1.571113113LAug 24 · 11:15A. Drozd2.0011661582T. Lysek1.739111113113LAug 24 · 09:45P. Vinansky1.501112113A. Drozd2.5071090WAug 23 · 09:05M. Janik2.107780A. Drozd1.671111113
O. Kus10
LSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123WSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133LSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LAug 25 · 08:15O. Kus2.256770A. Drozd1.571111113LAug 24 · 12:15O. Kus2.2591170A. Drozd1.571113113
Upcoming Matches
A. Drozd
O. Kus
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.