TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13002296
Played Aug 24Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811114119––
Ales Drozd
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Ales Drozd below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Lysek 1–0 Ales Drozd Ales Drozd has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Drozd)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drozd form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.80 / Drozd 1.91
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Drozd)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #13002296
Lysek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Drozd1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 32 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLysek1wins
AwayDrozd0wins
Lysek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLysekDrozdL − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.034.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekDrozdBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 216 vs 127 / 24953.2%51%115 / 216 vs 127 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdLysek 1.80/Drozd 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 5 · 06:45T. Lysek—81112113A. Drozd—1191041
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791
A. Drozd10
LSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852WSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123LAug 25 · 08:38A. Drozd1.50114771O. Kus2.5061111113WAug 25 · 08:15O. Kus2.256770A. Drozd1.571111113LAug 25 · 07:15A. Drozd1.807690L. Kantor1.911111113LAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101WAug 24 · 12:15O. Kus2.2591170A. Drozd1.571113113LAug 24 · 11:15A. Drozd2.0011661582T. Lysek1.739111113113LAug 24 · 09:45P. Vinansky1.501112113A. Drozd2.5071090WAug 23 · 09:05M. Janik2.107780A. Drozd1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Lysek
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A. Drozd
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