TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123079
Played Sep 13Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114116––––
Patrik Jokiel
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 6–11 Patrik Jokiel Ondrej Skvor has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jokiel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Jokiel
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1426 vs Jokiel 1353
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 20% vs Jokiel 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 20% vs Jokiel 40%
Jokiel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor -1 · Jokiel -3
Jokiel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jokiel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.83 / Jokiel 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jokiel)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13123079
Skvor1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Jokiel1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvor4wins
AwayJokiel6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJokiel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor60%3 of 5
AwayJokiel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvor4Jokiel6n = 10Jokiel took 6 of 10
S3Skvor5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvor3Jokiel3n = 6split evenly
S5Skvor1Jokiel2n = 3Jokiel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvorJokielS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.9−2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 147 vs 200 / 42749.7%46.8%73 / 147 vs 200 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielSkvor 1.83/Jokiel 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 19:40O. Skvor3371790P. Jokiel411119113
LSep 9 · 14:10O. Skvor4411571382P. Jokiel528111111113
WSep 5 · 13:10O. Skvor331111113P. Jokiel198380
LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor32661281P. Jokiel43111110113
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Skvor4391112113P. Jokiel371191071
WAug 15 · 10:15O. Skvor39121123113P. Jokiel47108111172
WAug 15 · 08:50O. Skvor341111123P. Jokiel2082100
LAug 15 · 06:45O. Skvor48111251192P. Jokiel53814119113
LAug 7 · 15:15O. Skvor34591191P. Jokiel4011117113
LJul 25 · 16:15O. Skvor2251340P. Jokiel371115113
O. Skvor10
LSep 13 · 10:45A. Drozd1.50118114123O. Skvor2.50811811102LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790LSep 11 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.1011119113O. Skvor1.67781171WSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971LSep 11 · 16:40J. Volny1.671111713113O. Skvor2.1085111572LSep 11 · 16:10A. Drozd1.911113113O. Skvor1.8061190LSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113LSep 11 · 13:40K. Baros1.8011611113O. Skvor1.91711661WSep 9 · 21:15O. Skvor1.70611117123I. Jemelka1.96115811102
P. Jokiel10
WSep 13 · 12:40A. Drozd1.6291111692P. Jokiel2.15118611113LSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113LSep 13 · 09:45A. Drozd1.831711610113P. Jokiel1.83158111282LSep 11 · 21:25P. Jokiel1.5861040I. Jemelka2.131112113WSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790LSep 11 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.10813891T. Ogrocki1.67111111113WSep 11 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.5713711113I. Jemelka2.251111671LSep 9 · 17:15T. Ogrocki1.6712128113P. Jokiel2.1010101151WSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113LSep 9 · 15:10T. Ogrocki1.6711116113P. Jokiel2.10791191
Upcoming Matches
O. Skvor
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