TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123072
Played Sep 13Finished
Ales Drozd
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111184111210
Ondrej Skvor
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:25 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeAles Drozd to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Drozd above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ales Drozd at 64.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ales Drozd 7–3 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:25What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Drozd
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Drozd
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Drozd 1490 vs Skvor 1444
Drozd
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drozd 80% vs Skvor 40%
Drozd
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drozd 50% vs Skvor 30%
Drozd
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drozd +3 · Skvor +1
Drozd
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Drozd)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drozd form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrozd 1.50 / Skvor 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Drozd)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13123072
Drozd1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Skvor2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDrozd7wins
AwaySkvor3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDrozd leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDrozd100%6 of 6
AwaySkvor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Drozd6Skvor4n = 10Drozd took 6 of 10
S2Drozd6Skvor4n = 10Drozd took 6 of 10
S3Drozd6Skvor4n = 10Drozd took 6 of 10
S4Drozd3Skvor5n = 8Skvor took 5 of 8
S5Drozd3Skvor0n = 3Drozd took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDrozdSkvorD − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.2+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrozdSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 259 vs 73 / 14651%50%132 / 259 vs 73 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdDrozd 1.50/Skvor 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 16:10A. Drozd351113113O. Skvor2661190
WAug 23 · 06:40A. Drozd41116112113O. Skvor4791191172
WAug 1 · 10:10A. Drozd41111711113O. Skvor4691111962
LAug 1 · 08:10A. Drozd326111141O. Skvor4411913113
WJul 25 · 16:45A. Drozd50146118113O. Skvor44121141162
WJul 25 · 15:15A. Drozd4591411113O. Skvor381112781
LJul 4 · 17:08A. Drozd31761171O. Skvor4111118113
WJul 4 · 15:40A. Drozd4113116113O. Skvor371181171
WJun 9 · 07:15A. Drozd331111113O. Skvor209920
LMay 3 · 07:10A. Drozd365111191O. Skvor3911413113
A. Drozd10
WSep 13 · 09:45A. Drozd1.831711610113P. Jokiel1.83158111282WSep 11 · 17:10A. Drozd2.051113113K. Baros1.6891160WSep 11 · 16:10A. Drozd1.911113113O. Skvor1.8061190LSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852WSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123LAug 25 · 08:38A. Drozd1.50114771O. Kus2.5061111113WAug 25 · 08:15O. Kus2.256770A. Drozd1.571111113LAug 25 · 07:15A. Drozd1.807690L. Kantor1.911111113LAug 25 · 05:45P. Vinansky1.36111011123A. Drozd3.008123101LAug 24 · 12:45T. Lysek1.8011811113A. Drozd1.91911491
O. Skvor10
WSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790LSep 11 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.1011119113O. Skvor1.67781171WSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971LSep 11 · 16:40J. Volny1.671111713113O. Skvor2.1085111572LSep 11 · 16:10A. Drozd1.911113113O. Skvor1.8061190LSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113LSep 11 · 13:40K. Baros1.8011611113O. Skvor1.91711661WSep 9 · 21:15O. Skvor1.70611117123I. Jemelka1.96115811102
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.