TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ondrej Coufal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191311––––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOndrej Coufal to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Coufal above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Ondrej Coufal at 60.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Coufal 1–0 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Coufal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Coufal 1329 vs Skvor 1457
Skvor
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Coufal 40% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Coufal 30% vs Skvor 60%
Skvor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Coufal -2 · Skvor +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Coufal) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCoufal 1.73 / Skvor 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Coufal)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13168748
Coufal1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Skvor2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCoufal1wins
AwaySkvor0wins
Coufal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCoufalSkvorC − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.034.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCoufalSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 21 vs 91 / 17533.3%52%7 / 21 vs 91 / 175Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CoufalCoufal 1.73/Skvor 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Coufal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Coufal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 16:10O. Coufal4181111113O. Skvor34119591
O. Coufal10
LSep 21 · 16:10K. Przeczek1.801111113O. Coufal1.912570LSep 21 · 13:40F. Theodor1.80681111113O. Coufal1.9111114692LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861
O. Skvor10
LSep 21 · 15:40F. Theodor2.25115119123O. Skvor1.57811811102WSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251LSep 21 · 13:10O. Skvor1.837990A. Drozd1.831111113WSep 21 · 11:40O. Skvor2.00132111113A. Drozd1.7311191341WSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882WSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.31911711113M. Klimenta3.2011711882WSep 21 · 09:40O. Skvor1.578121111113P. Jokiel2.2511146392LSep 19 · 20:45O. Skvor1.53111131192J. Vanous2.38135115113WSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor1.53411711113J. Vanous2.3811711752LSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113
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