TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13161427
Played Sep 19Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113115311115911
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 63.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 6–3 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Skvor
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1454 vs Vanous 1290
Skvor
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 20% vs Vanous 40%
Vanous
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 50% vs Vanous 30%
Skvor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor -3 · Vanous -2
Skvor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.53 / Vanous 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Skvor)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13161427
Skvor1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 49 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 33 of 51
Vanous2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkvor6wins
AwayVanous3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSkvor leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor100%3 of 3
AwayVanous50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor3Vanous6n = 9Vanous took 6 of 9
S2Skvor5Vanous4n = 9Skvor took 5 of 9
S3Skvor5Vanous4n = 9Skvor took 5 of 9
S4Skvor4Vanous3n = 7Skvor took 4 of 7
S5Skvor3Vanous0n = 3Skvor took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkvorVanousS − VBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match40.238.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 168 vs 132 / 30151.2%43.9%86 / 168 vs 132 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.53/Vanous 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor44411711113J. Vanous4111711752
WSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor3812114113J. Vanous391091191
LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor227690J. Vanous331111113
WAug 30 · 19:15O. Skvor53691611113J. Vanous49111114672
WAug 7 · 21:20O. Skvor471111113113J. Vanous4371361162
WAug 7 · 20:15O. Skvor4281112113J. Vanous311171031
LMay 15 · 18:15O. Skvor431811681J. Vanous4720511113
WApr 18 · 21:13O. Skvor331111113J. Vanous175570
LApr 18 · 18:09O. Skvor409811121J. Vanous4411118143
O. Skvor10
WSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor1.53411711113J. Vanous2.3811711752LSep 19 · 18:45K. Zeman2.10101111113O. Skvor1.67129661LSep 19 · 18:15M. Janik2.001111113O. Skvor1.737390LSep 19 · 16:45O. Skvor2.105930T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 19 · 16:15O. Skvor1.5391111113T. Ogrocki2.38119951LSep 19 · 14:45A. Drozd2.101211113O. Skvor1.6710980LSep 19 · 14:15M. Janik2.1011816113O. Skvor1.676111491WSep 14 · 21:18O. Skvor1.5791312113P. Jokiel2.2511111061WSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642WSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113
J. Vanous10
LSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor1.53411711113J. Vanous2.3811711752LSep 19 · 19:15J. Vanous2.0011611862M. Janik1.73911911113LSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370WSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113LSep 16 · 19:10J. Vanous1.8064110O. Kus1.911111133LSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113WSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191
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