TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139372
Played Sep 16Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12107111161311––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 81 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Karel Zeman at 62.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 20–12 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-12 in 32
Zeman
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1422 vs Vanous 1371
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 20% vs Vanous 40%
Vanous
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Vanous 30%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Vanous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.53 / Vanous 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Zeman)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13139372
Zeman1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 67 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Vanous2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman7wins
AwayVanous3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman85.7%6 of 7
AwayVanous66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Vanous3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zeman6Vanous4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Zeman5Vanous5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeman5Vanous2n = 7Zeman took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanVanousZ − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.535.4+6.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 314 vs 128 / 29455.4%43.5%174 / 314 vs 128 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.53/Vanous 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:10K. Zeman331111113J. Vanous165650
WAug 30 · 20:45K. Zeman4211119113J. Vanous31661181
LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman3091380J. Vanous371115113
WAug 25 · 19:15K. Zeman4011117113J. Vanous31971141
WJul 29 · 17:40K. Zeman331111113J. Vanous207670
WJul 16 · 18:10K. Zeman50111111173J. Vanous469139151
WJul 10 · 17:45K. Zeman45121111113J. Vanous321041351
WJul 7 · 19:15K. Zeman551561111123J. Vanous52171186102
LJun 30 · 20:40K. Zeman4011109101J. Vanous4161211123
LJun 30 · 19:40K. Zeman47611119102J. Vanous48118611123
K. Zeman10
WSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371LSep 14 · 20:48K. Zeman1.445960O. Kus2.631111113WSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman1.4481111113O. Kus2.63118891LSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113LSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113LSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123WSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572WSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113
J. Vanous10
LSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113WSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191LSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931WSep 9 · 20:45V. Molin1.5099111182J. Vanous2.50111197113LSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113LSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141LSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor1.6712114113J. Vanous2.101091191LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561
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