TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125782
Played Sep 13Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111196111012––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12
78 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 4–3 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zeman beat Skvor 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.80 / Skvor 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zeman)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13125782
Zeman1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 65 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Skvor1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZeman4wins
AwaySkvor3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderZeman leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZemann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkvor60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman2Skvor5n = 7Skvor took 5 of 7
S2Zeman5Skvor2n = 7Zeman took 5 of 7
S3Zeman5Skvor2n = 7Zeman took 5 of 7
S4Zeman0Skvor5n = 5Skvor took 5 of 5
S5Zeman3Skvor1n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricZemanSkvorZ − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match41.440.4+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 309 vs 76 / 15256%50%173 / 309 vs 76 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.80/Skvor 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 16:15K. Zeman331111113O. Skvor216960
LAug 30 · 18:15K. Zeman28581141O. Skvor4211119113
WAug 23 · 08:35K. Zeman51911117133O. Skvor45114811112
LAug 23 · 08:10K. Zeman237880O. Skvor331111113
WJul 18 · 10:10K. Zeman48111457113O. Skvor46712111152
WMay 15 · 20:50K. Zeman511211116113O. Skvor4514291192
LMay 15 · 19:45K. Zeman569111114112O. Skvor51116516133
K. Zeman10
WSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572WSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113WSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113LSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113WSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
O. Skvor10
LSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113LSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460LSep 13 · 10:45A. Drozd1.50118114123O. Skvor2.50811811102WSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790LSep 11 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.1011119113O. Skvor1.67781171
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