TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124428
Played Sep 13Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911611––––
Karel Zeman
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:31 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Karel Zeman at 60.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 3–3 Karel Zeman Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1460 vs Zeman 1460
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 60% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 50% vs Zeman 70%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor +2 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.73 / Zeman 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skvor)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13124428
Skvor1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 42 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it64% 29 of 45
Zeman2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 27 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkvor3wins
AwayZeman3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor60%3 of 5
AwayZemann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor5Zeman1n = 6Skvor took 5 of 6
S2Skvor2Zeman4n = 6Zeman took 4 of 6
S3Skvor2Zeman4n = 6Zeman took 4 of 6
S4Skvor5Zeman0n = 5Skvor took 5 of 5
S5Skvor1Zeman3n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkvorZemanS − ZBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match43.742.8+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 151 vs 172 / 30850.3%55.8%76 / 151 vs 172 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.73/Zeman 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 18:15O. Skvor4211119113K. Zeman28581141
LAug 23 · 08:35O. Skvor45114811112K. Zeman51911117133
WAug 23 · 08:10O. Skvor331111113K. Zeman237880
LJul 18 · 10:10O. Skvor46712111152K. Zeman48111457113
LMay 15 · 20:50O. Skvor4514291192K. Zeman511211116113
WMay 15 · 19:45O. Skvor51116516133K. Zeman569111114112
O. Skvor10
WSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113LSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460LSep 13 · 10:45A. Drozd1.50118114123O. Skvor2.50811811102WSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790LSep 11 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.1011119113O. Skvor1.67781171WSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971
K. Zeman10
WSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572WSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113WSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113LSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113WSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101
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