TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131444
Played Sep 14Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911611––––
Ondrej Kus
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 7–4 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.44 / Kus 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Zeman)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13131444
Zeman1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 66 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Kus2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman7wins
AwayKus3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman80%4 of 5
AwayKus40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Kus5n = 10split evenly
S2Zeman7Kus3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Zeman9Kus1n = 10Zeman took 9 of 10
S4Zeman3Kus4n = 7Kus took 4 of 7
S5Zeman2Kus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanKusZ − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.2+4.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKusBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 313 vs 260 / 52755.6%49.3%174 / 313 vs 260 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.44/Kus 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman4181111113O. Kus36118891
WSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman4071111113O. Kus32118761
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman331111113O. Kus207670
LSep 1 · 19:40K. Zeman356101181O. Kus3811124113
LAug 19 · 19:40K. Zeman3961111472O. Kus45116611113
WAug 17 · 20:45K. Zeman361411113O. Kus2212370
LAug 17 · 18:15K. Zeman4111511772O. Kus48611911113
WAug 11 · 20:40K. Zeman331111113O. Kus198470
WAug 11 · 18:15K. Zeman43116411113O. Kus3861111642
WApr 5 · 15:45K. Zeman551311117133O. Kus54159811112
K. Zeman10
WSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman1.4481111113O. Kus2.63118891LSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113LSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113LSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123WSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572WSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113WSep 7 · 16:15F. Theodor2.0081111452K. Zeman1.73119811113LSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113
O. Kus10
LSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman1.4481111113O. Kus2.63118891LSep 14 · 19:15P. Jokiel2.00911118113O. Kus1.7311971192LSep 14 · 18:15O. Kus2.501681161O. Skvor1.5018117113LSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113WSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113WSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 11:45A. Drozd1.574860O. Kus2.251111103WSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113
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