TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13128008
Played Sep 14Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1618811117611––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:40 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 88 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 63.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 2–6 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Kus has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Skvor
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1385 vs Skvor 1498
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 40% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 50% vs Skvor 70%
Skvor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus -1 · Skvor +3
Skvor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 2.50 / Skvor 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Skvor)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13128008
Kus2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Skvor1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKus2wins
AwaySkvor6wins
4 of 8 to a deciderSkvor leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkvor66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus2Skvor6n = 8Skvor took 6 of 8
S2Kus2Skvor6n = 8Skvor took 6 of 8
S3Kus5Skvor3n = 8Kus took 5 of 8
S4Kus2Skvor3n = 5Skvor took 3 of 5
S5Kus1Skvor3n = 4Skvor took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricKusSkvorK − SBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match34.040.2−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 524 vs 80 / 15749.6%51%260 / 524 vs 80 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorKus 2.50/Skvor 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus122640O. Skvor331111113
WSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus47811116113O. Skvor4011921172
LSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus4011711742O. Skvor42311611113
LAug 23 · 13:06O. Kus44113111182O. Skvor52131189113
WAug 23 · 10:40O. Kus43101111113O. Skvor36129961
LJun 20 · 15:10O. Kus4313511952O. Skvor521111811113
LMay 15 · 15:45O. Kus2371060O. Skvor341112113
LApr 18 · 13:40O. Kus206590O. Skvor331111113
O. Kus10
LSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113WSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 15:15K. Zeman1.5071111113O. Kus2.50118761LSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113WSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 11:45A. Drozd1.574860O. Kus2.251111103WSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113LSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123WSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113
O. Skvor10
WSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113WSep 14 · 17:14O. Skvor1.831211113A. Drozd1.8310290WSep 14 · 15:45A. Drozd1.615580O. Skvor2.201111113WSep 14 · 15:15T. Ogrocki2.20511611102O. Skvor1.61118115123LSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113WSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123LSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113LSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113
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