TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129268
Played Sep 14Finished
Tomas Ogrocki
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111186111151012
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Ogrocki above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 90 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 59.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Ogrocki 6–8 Ondrej Skvor Tomas Ogrocki has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Skvor
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ogrocki 1327 vs Skvor 1464
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ogrocki 20% vs Skvor 60%
Skvor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ogrocki 40% vs Skvor 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ogrocki -4 · Skvor -1
Ogrocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogrocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgrocki 2.20 / Skvor 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Skvor)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13129268
Ogrocki2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 59 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Skvor1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOgrocki3wins
AwaySkvor7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvor leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOgrocki20%1 of 5
AwaySkvor60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ogrocki5Skvor5n = 10split evenly
S2Ogrocki6Skvor4n = 10Ogrocki took 6 of 10
S3Ogrocki2Skvor8n = 10Skvor took 8 of 10
S4Ogrocki4Skvor6n = 10Skvor took 6 of 10
S5Ogrocki1Skvor2n = 3Skvor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOgrockiSkvorO − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.641.8−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgrockiSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 468 vs 77 / 15446.4%50%217 / 468 vs 77 / 154Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorOgrocki 2.20/Skvor 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 20:55T. Ogrocki4181111113O. Skvor33117871
LSep 11 · 18:10T. Ogrocki33116971O. Skvor4071111113
WSep 9 · 16:10T. Ogrocki4011125123O. Skvor3761011101
LSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki4113135101O. Skvor49111511123
LAug 30 · 15:15T. Ogrocki4451111982O. Skvor40114311113
LAug 15 · 13:20T. Ogrocki48111161192O. Skvor47313119113
LAug 15 · 10:45T. Ogrocki34711971O. Skvor4211911113
WAug 7 · 16:45T. Ogrocki49612911113O. Skvor43111011652
LAug 7 · 16:15T. Ogrocki361211491O. Skvor4514911113
LJul 25 · 18:45T. Ogrocki30113881O. Skvor4291111113
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 14 · 13:45A. Drozd1.57811412113T. Ogrocki2.25114111052LSep 13 · 08:45T. Ogrocki1.5371161152R. Jancak2.38117115113LSep 13 · 07:45T. Ogrocki1.7314811932J. Sindler2.001211911113LSep 13 · 06:45T. Ogrocki2.5011451192D. Stefek1.50311119113WSep 13 · 05:45T. Ogrocki1.501111119113R. Jancak2.5089131182WSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 20:10T. Ogrocki1.6712117792I. Jemelka2.101081111113WSep 11 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.10813891T. Ogrocki1.67111111113LSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971WSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113
O. Skvor10
WSep 14 · 15:45A. Drozd1.615580O. Skvor2.201111113LSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113WSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123LSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113LSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113WSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.