TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13128024
Played Sep 14Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115911611117511
Kamil Przeczek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:40 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 60.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 2–0 Kamil Przeczek Kamil Przeczek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1478 vs Przeczek 1365
Skvor
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 60% vs Przeczek 20%
Skvor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 50% vs Przeczek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor +1 · Przeczek -4
Przeczek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.57 / Przeczek 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Skvor)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13128024
Skvor1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Przeczek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 14 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkvor2wins
AwayPrzeczek0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSkvor leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkvorPrzeczekS − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.034.5+6.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 153 vs 75 / 16650.3%45.2%77 / 153 vs 75 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.57/Przeczek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor341112113K. Przeczek2471070
WSep 9 · 14:40O. Skvor48871111113K. Przeczek4511119682
O. Skvor10
WSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123LSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113WSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 14:15O. Kus2.052640O. Skvor1.701111113LSep 13 · 13:10O. Kus2.15811116113O. Skvor1.6011921172WSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460LSep 13 · 10:45A. Drozd1.50118114123O. Skvor2.50811811102WSep 13 · 10:15O. Kus2.1011711742O. Skvor1.67311611113LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790
K. Przeczek10
LSep 14 · 14:45A. Drozd1.801111113K. Przeczek1.919770LSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113LSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek1.619111112102T. Ogrocki2.20118714123WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133
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