TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139326
Played Sep 16Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012311711––––
Jiri Vanous
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 5–6 Jiri Vanous Patrik Jokiel has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:29What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jokiel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1332 vs Vanous 1348
Vanous
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 20% vs Vanous 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 30% vs Vanous 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel -4 · Vanous -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jokiel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.80 / Vanous 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jokiel)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13139326
Jokiel1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 34 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Vanous1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJokiel5wins
AwayVanous5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel66.7%4 of 6
AwayVanous75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel6Vanous4n = 10Jokiel took 6 of 10
S2Jokiel4Vanous6n = 10Vanous took 6 of 10
S3Jokiel3Vanous7n = 10Vanous took 7 of 10
S4Jokiel4Vanous4n = 8split evenly
S5Jokiel3Vanous2n = 5Jokiel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJokielVanousJ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.241.2−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 435 vs 128 / 29646.7%43.2%203 / 435 vs 128 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielJokiel 1.80/Vanous 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 19:10P. Jokiel217950J. Vanous331111113
LMay 22 · 19:15P. Jokiel48111211682J. Vanous549101311113
WMar 17 · 18:45P. Jokiel55149911123J. Vanous511211117102
WMar 6 · 20:10P. Jokiel4312119113J. Vanous281011161
LMar 2 · 18:45P. Jokiel4711911882J. Vanous49711911113
WFeb 8 · 15:15P. Jokiel49111197113J. Vanous4789111182
WFeb 3 · 21:15P. Jokiel47951111113J. Vanous4211118842
LJan 2 · 21:50P. Jokiel33871171J. Vanous4211119113
WJan 2 · 21:15P. Jokiel46111113113J. Vanous33961531
LDec 26 · 19:45P. Jokiel134540J. Vanous331111113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370LSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371LSep 16 · 18:10O. Kus1.8011711113P. Jokiel1.91811961LSep 14 · 21:18O. Skvor1.5791312113P. Jokiel2.2511111061LSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642WSep 14 · 19:15P. Jokiel2.00911118113O. Kus1.7311971192WSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Drozd1.6291111692P. Jokiel2.15118611113LSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460LSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113
J. Vanous10
WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370LSep 16 · 19:10J. Vanous1.8064110O. Kus1.911111133LSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113WSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191LSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931WSep 9 · 20:45V. Molin1.5099111182J. Vanous2.50111197113LSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113LSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141
Upcoming Matches
P. Jokiel
J. Vanous
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.