Ondrej Skvor vs Patrik Jokiel 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13131520

Played Sep 14Finished

Ondrej Skvor

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

91113111210116––

Patrik Jokiel

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Patrik Jokiel below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 83 set 4, 11-6

83 points played in total.

H2H Ondrej Skvor 8–11 Patrik Jokiel Ondrej Skvor has won 8 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skvor)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jokiel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkvor 1.57 / Jokiel 2.25

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Skvor)+1.8pp

TT Cup · #13131520

Skvor1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite52% won 44 of 85

Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47

Jokiel2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 72 of 148

Down 0–1, comes back39% 25 of 65

Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSkvor6wins

AwayJokiel4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderSkvor leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSkvor71.4%5 of 7

AwayJokiel66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Skvor7Jokiel3n = 10Skvor took 7 of 10

S2Skvor5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly

S3Skvor5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly

S4Skvor4Jokiel2n = 6Skvor took 4 of 6

S5Skvor2Jokiel2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSkvorJokielS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.3+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkvorJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 160 vs 203 / 43251.9%47%83 / 160 vs 203 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Skvor

Skvor 1.57/Jokiel 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.7%

Skvor · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Skvor won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor50119811113P. Jokiel4191111642

WSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor341211113P. Jokiel2010460

LSep 11 · 19:40O. Skvor3371790P. Jokiel411119113

LSep 9 · 14:10O. Skvor4411571382P. Jokiel528111111113

WSep 5 · 13:10O. Skvor331111113P. Jokiel198380

LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor32661281P. Jokiel43111110113

WAug 30 · 14:15O. Skvor4391112113P. Jokiel371191071

WAug 15 · 10:15O. Skvor39121123113P. Jokiel47108111172

WAug 15 · 08:50O. Skvor341111123P. Jokiel2082100

LAug 15 · 06:45O. Skvor48111251192P. Jokiel53814119113

O. Skvor10

WSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642 WSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113 WSep 14 · 18:15O. Kus2.501681161O. Skvor1.5018117113 WSep 14 · 17:14O. Skvor1.831211113A. Drozd1.8310290 WSep 14 · 15:45A. Drozd1.615580O. Skvor2.201111113 WSep 14 · 15:15T. Ogrocki2.20511611102O. Skvor1.61118115123 LSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113 WSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123 LSep 13 · 16:15O. Skvor1.736960K. Zeman2.001111113 WSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113

P. Jokiel10

LSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642 WSep 14 · 19:15P. Jokiel2.00911118113O. Kus1.7311971192 WSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113 WSep 13 · 12:40A. Drozd1.6291111692P. Jokiel2.15118611113 LSep 13 · 12:15O. Skvor1.831211113P. Jokiel1.8310460 LSep 13 · 11:15P. Jokiel1.91119781O. Kus1.8091111113 LSep 13 · 09:45A. Drozd1.831711610113P. Jokiel1.83158111282 LSep 11 · 21:25P. Jokiel1.5861040I. Jemelka2.131112113 WSep 11 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.001119113O. Skvor1.7371790 LSep 11 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.10813891T. Ogrocki1.67111111113

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Decision Summary

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Today's matches are already sealed.