TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158375
Played Sep 19Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012119116116––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 59.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 4–5 Ondrej Skvor Karel Zeman has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1452 vs Skvor 1445
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 80% vs Skvor 20%
Zeman
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Skvor 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +2 · Skvor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 2.10 / Skvor 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Skvor)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13158375
Zeman2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 29 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back39% 10 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Skvor1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 49 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 33 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZeman4wins
AwaySkvor5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSkvor leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkvor66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman3Skvor6n = 9Skvor took 6 of 9
S2Zeman6Skvor3n = 9Zeman took 6 of 9
S3Zeman5Skvor4n = 9Zeman took 5 of 9
S4Zeman0Skvor7n = 7Skvor took 7 of 7
S5Zeman3Skvor1n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricZemanSkvorZ − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match40.341.1−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 319 vs 85 / 16655.8%51.2%178 / 319 vs 85 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorZeman 2.10/Skvor 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman381161291O. Skvor4481114113
LSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman358116101O. Skvor4311911123
WSep 13 · 16:15K. Zeman331111113O. Skvor216960
LAug 30 · 18:15K. Zeman28581141O. Skvor4211119113
WAug 23 · 08:35K. Zeman51911117133O. Skvor45114811112
LAug 23 · 08:10K. Zeman237880O. Skvor331111113
WJul 18 · 10:10K. Zeman48111457113O. Skvor46712111152
WMay 15 · 20:50K. Zeman511211116113O. Skvor4514291192
LMay 15 · 19:45K. Zeman569111114112O. Skvor51116516133
K. Zeman10
WSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 21:05O. Kus2.046890K. Zeman1.661111113LSep 16 · 19:40K. Zeman1.53911841O. Kus2.3811511113WSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371WSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 14 · 20:48K. Zeman1.445960O. Kus2.631111113WSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman1.4481111113O. Kus2.63118891LSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113LSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113LSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123
O. Skvor10
LSep 19 · 18:15M. Janik2.001111113O. Skvor1.737390LSep 19 · 16:45O. Skvor2.105930T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 19 · 16:15O. Skvor1.5391111113T. Ogrocki2.38119951LSep 19 · 14:45A. Drozd2.101211113O. Skvor1.6710980LSep 19 · 14:15M. Janik2.1011816113O. Skvor1.676111491WSep 14 · 21:18O. Skvor1.5791312113P. Jokiel2.2511111061WSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642WSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113WSep 14 · 18:15O. Kus2.501681161O. Skvor1.5018117113WSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123
Upcoming Matches
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O. Skvor
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