TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158380
Played Sep 19Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Karel Zeman at 62.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 21–12 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-12 in 33
Zeman
Correct
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1427 vs Vanous 1350
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Vanous 40%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Vanous 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +1 · Vanous +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.53 / Vanous 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Zeman)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13158380
Zeman1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 69 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 52 of 69
Vanous2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 16)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman8wins
AwayVanous2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman87.5%7 of 8
AwayVanousn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman8Vanous2n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S2Zeman5Vanous5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeman5Vanous5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeman6Vanous1n = 7Zeman took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanVanousZ − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.134.4+6.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 318 vs 130 / 29855.7%43.6%177 / 318 vs 130 / 298Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.53/Vanous 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman4312711133J. Vanous3810116111
WSep 1 · 19:10K. Zeman331111113J. Vanous165650
WAug 30 · 20:45K. Zeman4211119113J. Vanous31661181
LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman3091380J. Vanous371115113
WAug 25 · 19:15K. Zeman4011117113J. Vanous31971141
WJul 29 · 17:40K. Zeman331111113J. Vanous207670
WJul 16 · 18:10K. Zeman50111111173J. Vanous469139151
WJul 10 · 17:45K. Zeman45121111113J. Vanous321041351
WJul 7 · 19:15K. Zeman551561111123J. Vanous52171186102
LJun 30 · 20:40K. Zeman4011109101J. Vanous4161211123
K. Zeman10
WSep 19 · 18:45K. Zeman2.10101111113O. Skvor1.67129661WSep 16 · 21:05O. Kus2.046890K. Zeman1.661111113LSep 16 · 19:40K. Zeman1.53911841O. Kus2.3811511113WSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371WSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 14 · 20:48K. Zeman1.445960O. Kus2.631111113WSep 14 · 19:45K. Zeman1.4481111113O. Kus2.63118891LSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113LSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113LSep 13 · 17:15K. Zeman1.808116101O. Skvor1.9011911123
J. Vanous10
WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370WSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113LSep 16 · 19:10J. Vanous1.8064110O. Kus1.911111133LSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113WSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191LSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931WSep 9 · 20:45V. Molin1.5099111182J. Vanous2.50111197113LSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113
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