TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160442
Played Sep 19Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911311––––
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 10–6 Tomas Ogrocki Tomas Ogrocki has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Skvor beat Ogrocki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ogrocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 2.10 / Ogrocki 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvor)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13160442
Skvor2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Ogrocki1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvor7wins
AwayOgrocki3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvor leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor60%3 of 5
AwayOgrocki20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor5Ogrocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvor4Ogrocki6n = 10Ogrocki took 6 of 10
S3Skvor8Ogrocki2n = 10Skvor took 8 of 10
S4Skvor5Ogrocki5n = 10split evenly
S5Skvor3Ogrocki1n = 4Skvor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvorOgrockiS − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.7+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 164 vs 224 / 48251.8%46.5%85 / 164 vs 224 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiSkvor 2.10/Ogrocki 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ogrocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 16:15O. Skvor4291111113T. Ogrocki34119951
WSep 14 · 15:15O. Skvor47118115123T. Ogrocki43511611102
LSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor33117871T. Ogrocki4181111113
WSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor4071111113T. Ogrocki33116971
LSep 9 · 16:10O. Skvor3761011101T. Ogrocki4011125123
WSep 5 · 11:10O. Skvor49111511123T. Ogrocki4113135101
WAug 30 · 15:15O. Skvor40114311113T. Ogrocki4451111982
WAug 15 · 13:20O. Skvor47313119113T. Ogrocki48111161192
WAug 15 · 10:45O. Skvor4211911113T. Ogrocki34711971
LAug 7 · 16:45O. Skvor43111011652T. Ogrocki49612911113
O. Skvor10
WSep 19 · 16:15O. Skvor1.5391111113T. Ogrocki2.38119951LSep 19 · 14:45A. Drozd2.101211113O. Skvor1.6710980LSep 19 · 14:15M. Janik2.1011816113O. Skvor1.676111491WSep 14 · 21:18O. Skvor1.5791312113P. Jokiel2.2511111061WSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642WSep 14 · 18:45K. Zeman2.001161291O. Skvor1.7381114113WSep 14 · 18:15O. Kus2.501681161O. Skvor1.5018117113WSep 14 · 17:14O. Skvor1.831211113A. Drozd1.8310290WSep 14 · 15:45A. Drozd1.615580O. Skvor2.201111113WSep 14 · 15:15T. Ogrocki2.20511611102O. Skvor1.61118115123
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 19 · 16:15O. Skvor1.5391111113T. Ogrocki2.38119951WSep 19 · 15:15T. Ogrocki1.83661111113M. Janik1.8311117772LSep 19 · 13:45A. Drozd1.57114116143T. Ogrocki2.25511911122WSep 17 · 21:10R. Benesz2.102490T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113WSep 17 · 19:10M. Dolezal2.10912991T. Ogrocki1.67111011113LSep 17 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.531131091R. Benesz2.3871112113WSep 15 · 17:09M. Lorenc1.6151171192T. Ogrocki2.20116113113LSep 15 · 15:40M. Lorenc1.80111111113T. Ogrocki1.91138971LSep 14 · 15:15T. Ogrocki2.20511611102O. Skvor1.61118115123
Upcoming Matches
O. Skvor
T. Ogrocki
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