TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145264
Played Sep 17Finished
Miroslav Dolezal
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210911911––
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Ogrocki to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Dolezal above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Ogrocki at 55.8%
82 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ogrocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1248 vs Ogrocki 1322
Ogrocki
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Ogrocki 60%
Ogrocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Ogrocki 30%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Ogrocki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ogrocki) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.10 / Ogrocki 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ogrocki)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13145264
Dolezal2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Ogrocki1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 54 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 45 vs 220 / 47646.7%46.2%21 / 45 vs 220 / 476Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiDolezal 2.10/Ogrocki 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ogrocki won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Dolezal10
LSep 17 · 20:10R. Benesz1.8371411113M. Dolezal1.831112251WSep 17 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.73381261M. Dolezal2.00111110113LSep 13 · 20:55J. Matus1.731112113M. Dolezal2.0081030LSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 18:45M. Dolezal1.835620J. Oleksik1.831111113WSep 13 · 17:45M. Dolezal2.2011119113J. Matus1.61921171WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113
T. Ogrocki10
WSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113LSep 17 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.531131091R. Benesz2.3871112113WSep 15 · 17:09M. Lorenc1.6151171192T. Ogrocki2.20116113113LSep 15 · 15:40M. Lorenc1.80111111113T. Ogrocki1.91138971WSep 15 · 15:10R. Benesz2.201091351T. Ogrocki1.61121111113WSep 15 · 14:10T. Ogrocki2.20111111113P. Chlad1.61813681LSep 14 · 16:45K. Przeczek1.5711158113T. Ogrocki2.259131171LSep 14 · 16:15K. Przeczek1.611613113T. Ogrocki2.20141190LSep 14 · 15:15T. Ogrocki2.20511611102O. Skvor1.61118115123LSep 14 · 13:45A. Drozd1.57811412113T. Ogrocki2.25114111052
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