TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129245
Played Sep 14Finished
Kamil Przeczek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
16141311119––––
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 74 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 57.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 5–5 Tomas Ogrocki Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1380 vs Ogrocki 1308
Przeczek
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 20% vs Ogrocki 0%
Przeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 40% vs Ogrocki 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek -1 · Ogrocki -5
Ogrocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Przeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogrocki form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.61 / Ogrocki 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Przeczek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13129245
Przeczek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite45% won 23 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it62% 16 of 26
Ogrocki2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 59 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzeczek5wins
AwayOgrocki5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek50%3 of 6
AwayOgrocki50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek6Ogrocki4n = 10Przeczek took 6 of 10
S2Przeczek7Ogrocki3n = 10Przeczek took 7 of 10
S3Przeczek6Ogrocki4n = 10Przeczek took 6 of 10
S4Przeczek5Ogrocki2n = 7Przeczek took 5 of 7
S5Przeczek0Ogrocki4n = 4Ogrocki took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzeczekOgrockiP − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.0+2.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 169 vs 217 / 47045.6%46.2%77 / 169 vs 217 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 1.61/Ogrocki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 16:15K. Przeczek401613113T. Ogrocki34141190
LSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek539111112102T. Ogrocki52118714123
LAug 21 · 19:15K. Przeczek322119101T. Ogrocki4111711123
WAug 18 · 20:40K. Przeczek4391111123T. Ogrocki321174101
LAug 18 · 19:10K. Przeczek3711851122T. Ogrocki47511119113
LJul 24 · 19:45K. Przeczek5215891192T. Ogrocki531311117113
WJul 20 · 20:15K. Przeczek351113113T. Ogrocki2691160
WJun 1 · 16:15K. Przeczek4381111133T. Ogrocki321146111
LMay 20 · 14:15K. Przeczek47117711112T. Ogrocki51911117133
WFeb 4 · 19:45K. Przeczek331111113T. Ogrocki228680
K. Przeczek10
WSep 14 · 16:45K. Przeczek1.5711158113T. Ogrocki2.259131171LSep 14 · 14:45A. Drozd1.801111113K. Przeczek1.919770WSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113LSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113LSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek1.619111112102T. Ogrocki2.20118714123WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 14 · 16:45K. Przeczek1.5711158113T. Ogrocki2.259131171LSep 14 · 15:15T. Ogrocki2.20511611102O. Skvor1.61118115123LSep 14 · 13:45A. Drozd1.57811412113T. Ogrocki2.25114111052LSep 13 · 08:45T. Ogrocki1.5371161152R. Jancak2.38117115113LSep 13 · 07:45T. Ogrocki1.7314811932J. Sindler2.001211911113LSep 13 · 06:45T. Ogrocki2.5011451192D. Stefek1.50311119113WSep 13 · 05:45T. Ogrocki1.501111119113R. Jancak2.5089131182WSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 20:10T. Ogrocki1.6712117792I. Jemelka2.101081111113WSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek1.619111112102T. Ogrocki2.20118714123
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