TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145258
Played Sep 17Finished
Radomir Benesz
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111412112115––
Miroslav Dolezal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Benesz above · Miroslav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Miroslav Dolezal at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Benesz 1–0 Miroslav Dolezal Miroslav Dolezal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Benesz 1338 vs Dolezal 1220
Benesz
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benesz 60% vs Dolezal 20%
Benesz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benesz 40% vs Dolezal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Benesz +3 · Dolezal -1
Benesz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benesz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenesz 1.83 / Dolezal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benesz)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13145258
Benesz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dolezal1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBenesz1wins
AwayDolezal0wins
Benesz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBeneszDolezalB − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.030.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeneszDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 213 vs 21 / 4737.6%44.7%80 / 213 vs 21 / 47Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeneszBenesz 1.83/Dolezal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Benesz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benesz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 20:10R. Benesz4371411113M. Dolezal301112251
R. Benesz10
LSep 17 · 21:10R. Benesz2.102490T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113WSep 17 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.531131091R. Benesz2.3871112113WSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123LSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 15:10R. Benesz2.201091351T. Ogrocki1.61121111113LSep 15 · 13:40M. Lorenc1.6111911143R. Benesz2.204119121LSep 9 · 16:45R. Benesz1.733960L. Zustina1.981111113LSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172LSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481
M. Dolezal10
WSep 17 · 20:40M. Dolezal1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91311431LSep 17 · 19:10M. Dolezal2.10912991T. Ogrocki1.67111011113WSep 17 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.73381261M. Dolezal2.00111110113LSep 13 · 20:55J. Matus1.731112113M. Dolezal2.0081030LSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 18:45M. Dolezal1.835620J. Oleksik1.831111113WSep 13 · 17:45M. Dolezal2.2011119113J. Matus1.61921171WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113
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